Quote:
Originally Posted by traveler
When you say "bet down" - bet down from what - the morning line?
From gate loading to final odds?
What if you your models odds-line rankings mirror the public? Your fav wins same % as public, 2nd fav same % as public etc. Any ideas on how this could be useful?
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From gate loading to final odds?
Yes. First horse loads the gate.
What if you your models odds-line rankings mirror the public? Your fav wins same % as public, 2nd fav same % as public etc.
Those are, of course, two separate targets.
Since the goal is to
outperform, I don't see how this would achieve that. However, know with a high confidence level what the odds would ultimately look like would solved half the problem: "What will the odds be?"
Would still leave you with "What are the horses probabilities?"
Instead, I've taken a different direction.
