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Old 10-03-2022, 11:52 AM   #76
GMB@BP
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
You know my story by now.

The fractions and times of races obviously matter, especially when there's not a lot of information about the horses like maiden graduates and early ALW horses, but calculating figures is not science and the times to some extent are also a function of an extremely complex interrelationship between the individual horse, how the race developed, and the surface that day (actually that race because the surfaces change during the day). I tend to just look at whether the race was fast, slow, average for the class and to try understand the outcome better, not to separate the horses.
I have not played seriously in 10 years but thought I would mess around in Ky this fall then Oaklawn so I played last week using Beyer figures as the basis of the speed figure quotient of my handicapping. Next week I will try Timeform, and just come up with what works best.

To be clear I am talking about straight speed figures and not pace adjusted figures.
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