Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnGalt1
I'm handicapping FG Thursday 9/14 and found a perfect example of why I started this thread.
Race one--#8 Diva's Ransom 7-2 ML
Last raced Oct 21
Last workout Feb 12
Trainer is 4 for 38 this year.
3 for 11 27% 46-90 day layoff
When I handicap a layoff horse I use the best/fastest/most representative race for a pace line.
July 5, off since may 19, she won 5f at Evd in 58.3.
That race she also won off a lay off since he last race was Feb 12 for that race.
I believe fillies and mares usually cab race well with fewer and or shorter works, but id do not trust it.
I am passing the race.
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The 8 is actually the type of horse I am looking for. Won off the layoff at 11-1.
Has low percentage connections that will increase the price. And this is basically a statebred race.
The race isn’t on the exchange so I will not be playing it but at 4-1 or so it’s a good bet parimutually speaking.
Stalk and pounce.
Allan
