medina dueling would have caused Medina to finish near last,
possibly would have softened Knicks go to 2nd or 3rd , maybe not... Knicks Go could have simply buried Medina and held on comfortably failing a huge rival effort
Knicks was obviously going to romp if loose, and possibly romp if a 2nd-tier rival like Medina Spirit dueled him.
All that was obvious.
The mind-blowing stuff was the Will-pays...
- a - Godolphin was on a 'high' and made an irrational bet
- b- word was out that Baffert would put his 'stamp' on the race w/ hard duel
- c- something slightly amiss w/ knicks
- d- even with the large pools, the public was stupid
guess it it was 'A'?
obviously wasn't b or c
very hard to believe 'd', either, - I doubt the public/wisdomCrowds missed that badly... it was obvious and it wasn't a brilliant insight to see Knicks was possibly loose, and definitely unlikely to get tired
made no sense, but after the stressful weekend for bettors, you were forced to either 'stick to your guns' and bet the obvious Knicks Go, or to adapt and spread a bit.
