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Originally Posted by Spalding No!
You're changing the goalposts now. You claimed originally that he was a 104-105 BSF horse and I simply pointed out that he's averaged a 98 BSF for the past 16 months. So if he happens to reach 100, your original assessment will be correct?
At any rate, if his performance in that San Antonio--4th in a 5-horse field behind runaway NY-bred allowance horse Giant Expectations--is indicative of the "real" Hoppertunity, I'm probably in good shape.
War Story did not look good in the final 3/8s. He had to fight hard to wrest the lead from Outplay (someone ought to ask Repole why that horse coming out of 7f races was even in the race) on the far turn, swapped to his right lead on the turn--never a good sign, and then had his head bent towards the rail through the stretch (probably was trying to lug out like Hard Study).
Besides, not sure a horse targets a $400K race by "prepping" in a $12 million race and a $1.2 million dollar race. Less a progression and more like a digression.
When you look at the rest of the days BSFs, the Brooklyn was not out of sorts. Met Mile winner Bee Jersey registered a 109 BSF going 8 furlongs and missing the NA record by 4/5s of a second; Phipps winner Abel Tasman earned a 100 BSF going 8.5 furlongs and missing the track mark by a little over 1 second; Hoppertunity got a 98 BSF going 12 furlongs while 4 seconds slower than the NA record.
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Um, Secretariat's 2:24 flat is a lot different than those other records.