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I only wager into large pools on big race days. I pay particular attention to the preps for the derby. I get to know those horses like I use to know the horses at Pimlico and Laurel when I played regularly. I make it a point to not watch 2 year old races. This paid off this year because most bettors formed an opinion of Forte that wasn't accurate at all this year. I start with a clean slate in January. Many times horses run great races in preps that go unnoticed. That's my bread and butter. I don't need a large sample to locate a quality horse. I don't bet against favorites. I bet quality horses with a small sample size. Arcangelo was a good example of that. If he wasn't training in New York he would have been a better overlay in both the Belmont and Travers.
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