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i haven't studied the race a bunch, but it looked like Improbable was the only one moving. Circling a moderate pace? Harder to tell in a short, bunched field.
I thought he was simply a faster horse, and ran 'his own' race without regard to the setup. I could be completely wrong.
Maximum Security looked flat, and never flashed any level of separation/brilliance vs. the others.
Improbable kind of looked like he was loaded, and could go by any time. It's not like he waited long for Maximum Security to have first crack, so I can't really guess on that respect.
/as far as any theories or whatever... I thought Maximum Security was the star here, and they would have loved him to win.
For the tinfoil hatters - Maybe Improbable has a market as "The City Zip that can now get 9, 10 furlongs!" ... who knows...
Improbable was one of my Derby picks, but that didn't pan out.
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Last edited by Robert Fischer; 09-27-2020 at 10:43 AM.
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