Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
The rain is probably a factor. It would be quite a coincidence if it is not.
That said, these are very small sample sizes when you are talking about "per 1,000 starts." Nobody wants to hear this, but it could just be bad luck. I still think it is the rain though.
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while it is pretty clearly multiple factors, we have had two very fast, perhaps somewhat fragile horses run extremely fast early on arguably an unnecessarily deep dirt surface, then unable to slow down and glide to victory, perhaps because they lost their footing due to something with the surface being too deep for them to stop
that at least seems a possible consistency between Mel and NYT's tragedies, which seems quite possibly related to the surface condition, no one has said otherwise yet anyway
run too fast on a deep dirt track and it's harder to slow down, seems at least a possibility worth further investigating (and worrying that it might just happen again if it has happened twice)
