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Old 05-10-2020, 04:11 PM   #47
cj
@TimeformUSfigs
 
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Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,849
Quote:
Originally Posted by kdavis7837 View Post
I usually do, but in this case I flat out missed it, I didn't go back and far enough to determine its true run style, it wasn't the product, I figured the horse would be closer to the pace because of the drop in class from Alw with much higher race ratings to cheap claiming and the Jocks aggressiveness, ( ignored vet scratch since last as well) mistakes on several levels and the kind of things I an working on ,that and I miss judged the Jocks ability on the #4, the horse was better despite the Jock
which brings me to the spotlight feature, why do they use so many off tracks as the spotlight race? clearly as you say a different animal, I have seen them use a sloppy track for the spotlight when the races before and after matches todays surface and track conditions ? I know there is nothing wrong with designating ones own style and spotlight but it does change the dynamics of the product, IMO, Odds wise probably better the way it is, that's for sure
There are really two ways to label a horse with a running style and both have problems. You can use a label that tells you how the horse will be positioned today, which is what we do, or you can label the horse according to how he has run best.

I would say the 1 horse that is being discussed could be labeled any way you want, but recently he had shown the ability to lay off the pace and make up ground at times while never really showing speed. Nothing would lead anyone to believe that horse was going to suddenly go for the lead Saturday, so I have no problem with the "Closer" label we gave him at this six furlong distance. If we label him a "Speed" horse, we are saying he is going to challenge for the lead and that would affect our Pace Projector negatively.

Scrolling through his lifetime PPs, the horse has not made the lead early in a race this short or shorter in a long time, since his maiden score as a presser. Why would I consider him a speed horse today? And, in fact, he didn't run like a speed horse either. His two 6f wins came as a tracker, and his other wins were at longer distances.

If you want to tell me he has to have the lead, I'd say he had no chance in this field because he was never going to get it. I would have a tough time calling this horse a true speed horse no matter how you decide to assign a running style. He'd be a closer based on recent races in my opinion, probably a tracker based on races at 6f.
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