Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Over the past three racing days at Aqueduct I’ve noticed that Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1 were getting destroyed they were only winning at 18.1% prior to Sunday
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...24#post2268424
The actual Favorites were equally getting destroyed as well
It has been a while since I’ve seen such poor performances from Favorites and from what I could tell there were no weather issues.
This has been one of the warmest January’s at Aqueduct in years and the famous backstretch wind, to me, had not been a factor over the past three days
If you played long shots at Aqueduct since Thursday you were doing quite well as the average win price prior to Sunday was $14.10
However, for the rest of us, this was a complete carnage in trying to cash a ticket
If I see this type of destruction going into day a 3 and beyond I’m going to start looking at Trainers on the card comparatively to see who is giving the best return per $2 win place and show wager |
Today at Aqueduct there are 16 Morning Line Favorites less than 3-1
which makes up 28% of the entire card before scratches
Code:
RowNum: Date: Race: PgmNum: Horse: RaceCond: Distance: Trainer: Odds: Surface:
1 02-01-2018 1st race 2 B Three (NY) Claiming One Mile G DiPrima 7/5# Dirt
2 02-01-2018 1st race 3 Queenofthechannel (KY) Claiming One Mile R Metivier 9/5# Dirt
3 02-01-2018 2nd race 2 Ekhtibaar (KY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile C C Brown 4/5# Dirt
4 02-01-2018 2nd race 5 Dambrosio (KY) Maiden Special Weight One Mile T A Pletcher 8/5# Dirt
5 02-01-2018 3rd race 1 The Chamo (FL) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs G C Contessa 9/5# Dirt
6 02-01-2018 3rd race 1A Triangulate (KY) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs L Rice 9/5# Dirt
7 02-01-2018 3rd race 2 Im an Ocala Dude (FL) Maiden Claiming Six Furlongs M Nevin 5/2# Dirt
8 02-01-2018 4th race 2 Astounding (KY) Allowance One And One Eighth Miles J Servis 9/5# Dirt
9 02-01-2018 4th race 5 Storm Prophet (NY) Allowance One And One Eighth Miles L Rice 2/1# Dirt
10 02-01-2018 5th race 2 Split Verdict (KY) Maiden Special Weight Seven Furlongs R A Violette Jr. 9/5# Dirt
11 02-01-2018 5th race 3 Racing Raven (KY) Maiden Special Weight Seven Furlongs T A Pletcher 2/1# Dirt
12 02-01-2018 6th race 3 City of Dreams (NY) Claiming Six Furlongs W A Ward 5/2# Dirt
13 02-01-2018 7th race 2 Tasteful (KY) Allowance One Mile K P McLaughlin 2/1# Dirt
14 02-01-2018 7th race 3 Full House (KY) Allowance One Mile J A Jerkens 9/5# Dirt
15 02-01-2018 8th race 2 Jurere (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile L Rice 6/5# Dirt
16 02-01-2018 8th race 6 Northernstreetgal (NY) Maiden Claiming One Mile G C Contessa 5/2# Dirt
If they are still winning at a rate of only 18 to 20% then I will have to look at which Trainers have been benefiting from this situation!!!
Let's see what Nevin and Rice do today!!!
