dosage rang 1.00-1.99
Pandy: The data I listed above illustrates the best dosage index range to be 2.00-2.99.
You asked about the impact value for the 1.00-1.99 range. Only 5 horses since 1989 had that range. I know its a bad dosage range for the Belmont because my research from 1979-2003 regarding dosage (which appeared in my book-Impact Values Lead To Derby, Preakness and Belmont winners which was published by American Turf Monthly) illustrates just how bad it was in that time frame. That research follows:
1979-2003
Dosage Range-----Winners----Win%---Starters----%Starters-----Impact Value
1.00-1.99----------4 of 25-----16%-----70 of 251-----27.9%---------.57
From the data above one can say that horses with a dosage index in the 1.00-1.99 have won the Belmont stakes 43% less often than statistical expectation.
It makes sense because horses need a reasonable amount of early speed to win the Belmont. There are exceptions: Jazil comes to mind as a deep closer but as rule most Belmonts are won near the front or within 5 or 6 lengths of the leader early on.
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