My two cents:
Animal Kingdom's going to be tough. I think he wins, with the predictable Derby returnees (MMM, Dialed In) close behind him. However, there are two potential party-crashers who I wouldn't throw off deep exotics tickets.
Flashpoint's Hutcheson was very, VERY good. Likewise, his FLA Derby, where he bounced, was very, VERY mediocre. Wesley Ward connects with 29% of new arrivals, and I think he's well-meant at a 20-1 ML price (steep for one of just five graded-stakes winners in the field).
Concealed Identity looks a lot like Icabad Crane did a few years ago. On pure talent, he's a cut below the rest, but he loves this surface and has the right running style to do well. He's a right-place, right-time horse who gets a pilot that knows his way around Pimlico, and if he can overcome the post, 30-1 looks like a big overlay.
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Aspiring turf writer and handicapper. Follow me on Twitter at @AndrewChampagne!
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