Interactive electoral map where you can enter your choices.
Like 2000 and 2004, I think it'll come down to Florida and Ohio. The GOP always has Pennsylvania on their wish list, but they haven't taken it since 1988, so I'd have to give it to Obama again.
So if Obama wins Pa., that puts him at 206 before they even start campaigning. And I also think those midwestern states usually go Democrats, so even if Obama gives back 5 or so states from 2008, he can still win with either Florida or Ohio. The GOP candidate will have to take both of those states to win.
http://www.270towin.com/