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Thread: False Favorites
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Old 06-02-2018, 10:17 PM   #12
Lemon Drop Husker
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Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
Quote:
Originally Posted by BETA View Post
I start my preliminary handicapping with a Tip Sheet generated from a database that classifies each race type as “Dominant”, “Orderly” or “Chaos” …. Each race entry is sorted from best to worst using a projected “fair” odds line…. For comparison purposes, a “custom” morning line is generated that is intended to represent/project final tote odds (“best guess” at a Contention Line) …. I utilize the ranks of six different models to identify corresponding Contenders; Contender Grades; Form Power Points; and a Reynolds number…. Finally, an algorithm populates the “Bet” column with top two projected tote favorites and any projected value plays…. In turn, the potential “False Favorites” / “Playable Races” become readily apparent.

BOL!

I'm not a savant, but I can read all that in within a minute. I can also read the class, skill, and ability of the jocks and connections in milliseconds.



I use 1 model. My collective brain utilizing 30+ years of greatness.
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