Quote:
Originally Posted by MPRanger
Maybe the handicapping factors still work as before but the overlay you find is being bet down to an underlay at the last second by some group who is getting a kick back on volume. Still an overlay to them but not to you.
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I suspect one of the problems is that major players come and go or do research and change their own betting patterns. So we are dealing with a moving target in terms of where the value is located.
That's the scarier part of the way I play now. Something can work for quite awhile but other players may be slowly chipping away at any value that exists.
When you are going bad is it some random negative distribution or has something changed?
It's hard to know.