Quote:
Originally Posted by GMB@BP
It could be argued that the Beyer figure may be a tad low even, based on the 126 every single horse regressed in the race from their previous past couple races, some considerably.
Now a couple I would argue, like Royal Ship and Extra Hope really dont want 10F but Country Grammer does and he didnt improve at all in his second off layoff at his preferred distance.
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Beyer didn't split the day at all other than the first race (that was a slow paced race). So I don't think it was a complicated day to make figures.
The argument for the rest of the field declining is that they were chasing a horse that was running very fast splits. While those splits were comfortable for Flightline, they weren't comfortable for the inferior horses trying to stay within striking distance of him. They were being used. I'm not saying that necessarily happened here, but it's not uncommon. Personally, 126 seems too low to me as an expression of the performance, but they are his figures, using his input figures, his analysis, and his projections. In my mind, that race was the best I've seen on dirt in who knows how long. I just qualify it by saying the track was conducive to a big number by a very fast horse like him.
