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Originally Posted by cj
Weekly article, stuck to the Oaks in Derby this week with more detail than usual. I'll be on at some point today I think, probably just after noon.
https://www.tvg.com/blog/2015/05/06/...speed-figures/
Curious what people think about my Derby pace analysis, not a popular one from what I've seen post race. The gist of my take---why do we expect the leaders in the Derby to set unrealistic fractions? |
As I posted earlier about your pre-race analysis, it pretty much aligned with mine. I had a feeling that, with so many early horses in the field, some of those early horses would not go out early, and doubted that a very fast pace would happen. Post-race I thought the pace was legitimate, not slow but not really fast, and that the main 4 or 5 contenders were much better than the rest. AP surprised me, Dortmund disappointed, and Firing Line ran just about how I thought he would.
So, in response to your question, I thought you did a great job pre-race!
