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Long shots are horses that should go off at low odds and are going off at fair odds or higher, or horses that should go off at fair odds and are going off at long odds. Surprises are horses showing a little something that should be at least fair odds or better. The term long shot gets missed used to cover a wider range than it should.
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"The Law, in its majestic equality, forbids the rich, as well as the poor, to sleep under bridges, to beg in the streets, and to steal bread."
Anatole France
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