Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
Shockingly, there is correlation to future performance even with no reference to the ratings involved.
Time-decayed positional gain/loss is not as good as lengths gained or lost, but they all have value.
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Years ago I bought an expensive black hardcover book written by a Canadian "pro horseplayer", whose name eludes me at the moment (Jayce Killian?). I think he proposed a method which dealt with the horses' positional moves without taking the figures/ratings into account. Perhaps I should have paid more attention to the book than I did...
