Interesting. No works for Justify, Good Magic and Lone Sailor, not even a blow out, but a nice 4fl in 50.3 for Calumet’s Lukas trained Bravazo. I figure that Derby was particular taxing and the horses don’t need the work or one work would deplete any stored reserve energy.
“Classier horses might deliver three peak efforts before disappointing, but only the best of class can be expected to deliver more than three top performances in a row.” (Quinn) Justify has delivered four peak efforts – he is pushing the envelope; his last effort showed a decline in the BRIS speed figure, couple that with a bad left rear, he can’t be considered 100% and looks vulnerable. Good Magic has delivered three peak efforts – he too is pushing the envelope; his last effort showed a BRIS one point above his previous two performances; he hasn’t matured and improved as a three-year-old, he looks vulnerable.
Who better to beat a swifty than a swifty?
I think either Quip or Tenfold will likely upset here. Not so much Quip as it appears he has hit his high form number w/that BRIS 98, but Tenfold looks interesting. Three nice works; DI and CD fits the average for the track; he will likely improve just enough to run these worn and tired guys down.
