Just saw your post Raybo. At my age, when I go to sleep I have to get
up a few hours later and pee then roam about the house or read posts
on PA.
Thanks for checking this out. It certainly confirms what Mitchell his self
said, that the CCR has very little predictive value. As far as isolating the
contenders I think it is not necessary as most of us can do that anyway.
So, over the long term it looks like a looser unless one could come up with
tweaking the formula just a tad. My recent idea was to add another
number to the CCR but as it turns out, it gives a better spread between
numbers but changes the ranking of the contenders very little. So I would
be only making a larger number and getting the same ole results.
That number I was going to get from a formula given by Larry Voegele in
his book, "Professional Method of Winner Selections." I was going to take
his current form figure taken from a horses last six races. That number waa
later tweaked by Bob Pitlak allowing horses that win larger purse races an
edge over winners of lower purse races. However, it comes up with the
almost same rankings as Mitchel's formula.
So for now I feel I have reached that brick wall at the end of a dark alley.
Hopefully, some other members may come up with ideas that can effectively
put a good number on CR.
Thanks again for all your help.
