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Although Beyer does make a lot of sense it is also true that horseracing is an ever changing sport. The sets of rules we try to make to find the Derby winner shouldn't be a pat set of rules. I think this year the number of races in the past might not be as critical. Horses coming off layoffs are doing quite well. I also think the number of races in the 3 year old past might not be as critical. Horses are more fragile than ever. Too many races before the triple crown races might be detrimental. This years Kentucky Derby seems more up for grabs than ever.
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