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Originally Posted by Robert Goren
She at this point about 2/5 because the GOP is unlikely to nominate anyone who can beat her. Thinking that somebody like Cruz or Rubio or Walker or Carlson can beat her is just wishful thinking on the part of conservatives. At some point, the GOP has got to sit down and add up the votes of the various possible nominees against her. Something at this point they are unwilling to do. They are having too much fun bashing her. All that is doing is strengthening the resolve of her hard core supporters.
Today Christie gets into the race. It will be interesting to see how he does. He is one of the few republicans that have an outside chance of beating her. And I do see a path for him to get the nomination, but it requires a good deal of luck, a strong showing in New Hampshire and Jeb Bush falling flat on his face. Christie's time may have already come and gone. 2012 was his year. I think he had a good shot(50/50) at beating Obama then. A better shot than he has of beating Hillary. I give him about 35-40% chance of beating Hillary if he can get the nomination.
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I give Jeb and Rubio a shot at beating her. I don't see how Christie survives the primaries but I can see a slim but frightenly real chance of Santorum coming out with the nomination. My dream, however, is a Paul / Sanders general election. No matter who wins the country at least gets a long overdue injection of new ideology.
