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Old 01-18-2021, 05:20 PM   #7
PhantomOnTour
C'est Tout
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,269
FG Race 8 - 5.5f Turf MSW f3yr old
RULE 2: a horse i like at overlaid odds...actually, i should make this one RULE 4: angle plays that i can't resist

I'm going with the Vincaia, a first time starter for Brad Cox.
The angle here is the sales price compared to the stud fee. I take a second look at any FTS who sells for more than 10x their sire's stud fee. I take a serious look if it's 15x the stud fee, and i almost always bet if it's more than that. This gal sold for $575,000 which is over 16x the stud fee for Bernardini, who stands for $35,000.
I'm sure she will run well today...solid pedigree, excellent trainer, and a very good turf jock in Bridgmohan up (he's 20% on the grass). I need my price though. She's currently 6-1 and i will set that as my minimum accepted odds as this field is large and has a few good runners with experience.
Wish me luck.

The play:
$2 ex w
$9 win

($17 wagered)
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