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I love how people say, take back tuck in an save some ground. You may get real lucky but from that far outside with that many horses inside you chances are you are losing ground, and I suspect that Honor AP if they are next to each other is not going to make it easy for him to get inside of him.
Maybe the horse is just that handy he can take back in hand, but even then he needs some luck.
He is lengths better than this field so its probably still ok to be wide on the first turn, needs to save some second turn.
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