Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
I read this statement somewhere recently:
***50% of all maiden sprints are won by the horse with 1 of the top-2 speed ratings in today's race***
Can this be true? There is one bit of info missing from this statement: Is this from the last race--last 2--all time, this distance, what?
Using the PLATINUM program, I simply loaded appx the last 9 or 10 days of Santa Anita data, opened any maiden sprints run in that time period, and sorted by speed. Platinum Speed avgs the last two Bris ratings, so the top horse has the highest avg in the field.
Using all surfaces and distances--they simply had to be maiden sprints-even dreaded 7F races.
The results of this quick test were surprising...I'm hoping someone will continue this and report back his findings at other tracks.
SANTA ANITA MAIDENS-- TOP PLATINUM SPEED
SUGAR SUGAR - OUT
OUBABE - 2ND
ALIGATO - $5.40
WARREN'S QUEEN BEE - 2ND
SO VERY SMART $4.40
SUE ETTA'S GHOST $8.60
AFFABLE - $6.20
PICK YOUR BID $8.20
TONY ANN - $3.60
SCREAM AND SHOUT - $11.80
Interesting...obviously bears further study
Who's up for it?
-NCG
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Greg are you using the Platinum speed ratings or the Bris speed ratings an are you averaging the last two rating or using the best of the last two ratings ?