Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01
He makes a good point though. The winning percentage alone doesn't say anything that isn't already baked into the price. The trainers and jockeys that win more get bet more. You have to decide on an individual basis if you're willing to take that price. Of course you're better off betting a 22% trainer over a 2% trainer. But everyone else handicapping the race knows that too and bets accordingly.
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OK, that makes sense but I'm not talking about price or making an odds line. Not at all.
And of course a 2% trainer is not going to attract many bets. But how about a trainer that has a 11% win rate? Is that an acceptable win% or do you want to see at least 15%?
In my OP I asked "
Do you rule out a horse if the trainer or jockey has a low win%?"
Basically what I was asking is what do you consider to be a "low win%" and would you eliminate a horse as a contender that's trained by, or rode by, a person that has such a "low win%" ?
