10-10-2020, 09:55 AM
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#54
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I know the odds are generally efficient, but I'm still not seeing how tracking the money flow is "adding value" to the analysis. The idea is to find the inefficiencies.
For example, I've been playing horses for around 45 years. After all this time, I'm pretty good at estimating how a race is going to get bet within some range. Sometimes, I'll see a horse getting bet a lot heavier or a lot less than I expected. To me, that "could be" meaningful betting action because either I'm missing something important or someone knows something about this horse that's not available to the public (and might not be fully reflected on the board).
We see this with first time starters all the time because the public has so little information to work with, but IMO it's happening all the time. It's just harder to notice because there are fewer things insiders might know that the public won't know also.
Other than that, am looking for fundamental handicapping factors, ways of measuring them, and circumstances that the general public may not betting correctly.
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I would suggest that anyone that stakes claim to a solution support, their conclusions by posting comprehensive results, indicating at a minimum, bet size, bet type and return. We could all learn from that
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Last edited by formula_2002; 10-10-2020 at 09:56 AM.
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