10-25-2022, 04:54 PM
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#19
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Veteran
Join Date: Sep 2021
Posts: 324
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I would be semi shocked and quite impressed if Flightline duplicated his Pacific Classic figure in the BC Classic. Both Timeform and TG appear to have the race even faster than Beyer and I don't think he'll run back to the 126 Beyer.
IMO, the track that day at DMR was carrying speed better than the average track on the average day. On surfaces like that, very fast speed horses sometimes carry their speed to huge final time figures.
We don't know how KEE will be playing in a couple of weeks, but if it's an honest racetrack I'm expecting his form to drop back to something more along the lines of the Met Mile.
That was also an outstanding performance, but chasing LIG, holding off Taiba, Epicenter, and the rest of the quality horses in that field at 10F on an honest track is a bit different than dominating a race chasing Speaker's Corner and holding off Happy Saver at 8F (rough trip or not).
I think this is going to be a much better test of whether he's a true 10F horse and whether he's a very good or great horse.
He's obviously the most likely winner, but I don't think there will good value playing him even if you leave LIG off for 2nd on the assumption he's going to put that one away. Almost everyone that likes him is thinking along those lines. It's probably going to take something more creative than that or taking a shot against him to get real value.
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2 tracks in the country that can help horses get the 1 1/4
Keeneland /Gulfstream
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