Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
You forgot how old you are?
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That might explain the PP confusion!
Just kidding CM.....try using them as PPS and just handicap the race.
The stuff on the summary is never going to be profitable because it is never going to really reflect the race.
I can't find the PPs right now, but it was Tampa Bay recently.
The winner, at 2-1, didn't show up very good in the summaries.
IT was a dirt sprint and his last 4 races were all turf sprints.
He showed good early speed but could not finish very good.
His Current Class Rating was "-----: none given.
The TOP Current Class horse was 115.9
If you used the last 3 DIRT sprints for the winner, the ratings were 117-116-116.
His SR was top in the field. His early pace was by far the best.
The summary page gives you best, average, yadda yadda yadda....nothing reality to today's race.
Go through the PPS and draw a line through any race NOT the same structure as today.
If today is a dirt sprint, 6 furlongs, get rid of the grass races, the route races, maybe the sloppy tracks race....NOW look at the key ratings.
I'll find that race and post it later - it is a perfect example, and I thought 2-1 was a good price for a horse how dominated on pace in recent usable races.
I went through tons of BRIS summary sheets last year, trying to find out what wins. Nothing did.
BUT, the one factor I did find was the Avg Speed Column (Rcg Spd Avg) The winner was in the top 4 over 80% of the time.