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Thread: Which Long Shot
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Old 07-03-2020, 10:48 AM   #25
castaway01
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner View Post
Maybe Horses

11 bets (4 hit board)

Bel 5---#3 -------, -------,6.50
Elp 4---#3 41.60, 19.60, 7.00
Elp 4---#8 ------, 6.60, 3.20
Ind 5---#1 ------, 8.60, 6.00

Win 41.60-22.00 = +19.60
Place 34.80 - 22.00 = +12.80
Show 22.70 - 22.00 = +0.70

Pass Horses


32 bets (3 hit board)

Bel 6-----#1 -------, -------, -6.50
Ind 5-----#2, 43.80, 19.60, 10.40
LA 7------#7 -------, -------, 15.60

Win 43.80-64.00 = minus 20.20
Place 19.60 - 64.00 = minus 44.40
Show 32.20-64.00 = minus 31.80
What we don't know if you are handicapping these horses. Actually, I don't even need to know that. Just remember that this is a very small sample and you could lose 50 in a row. I'm not a "the sample has to be a million races" guy, but since I don't know the criteria I would think you'd need to do this for a while before you can bet with any confidence.

If you continue to do this and get a large enough sample that you can analyze it, the logical thing to do is break down whether you're better in certain types of races, on turf or dirt, at certain tracks, with different field sizes, etc. Then you can concentrate on what is working best for you and refine it.
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