Quote:
Originally Posted by P Matties Jr
Thought about this race for a week.... I decided to take the two 7f races out for the day and use a separate variant for them. I made that decision because the whole weekend was relatively easy to do with all three days basically having the same variant, with the exception of the American Anthem race coming up so fast. Also the pace figures didn't make much sense in both of those 7f races, either. I wish I could come up with an explanation, though, because I don't like arbitrarily taking races out, like Beyer does routinely. I think that philosophy gets you in more trouble than it helps you.....I'm sure Craig will agree with me here but if you want your figures to be real tight, you have to project, but when you do, you face tough situations like this one, all the time.
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Well said. I came close to going with treating the 7f races separately but went the other way and just broke the last one away, something I really don't do very often. In this case I'll be keeping a close eye on R4 as well, the other 7f race.
I think both of those are much better in this case than playing it straight. For the San Carlos I had 19 projections I considered relevant and only three fell below the variant I used for the other races. Two of those three barely made the cut. I'm very confident this was not the fast race that lumping with the others would make it.
