Quote:
Originally Posted by rsetup
 , Three Rules: the three horses chasing him in the FOY ended up at the rear of the pack. Don't see the 1 staying with him early. If the 4 tries to run with him, race probably collapses.
 , Gunnevera: couldn't have gotten a more perfect trip wiping them out in the FOY. But he also ran well enough to be the only horse not wiped out in the Holy Bull.
 , Always Dreaming: no idea what this horse is going to do. Have to respect Pletcher at GP. Didn't look at the TAM race but his SAR race was very impressive. Crawled early and then picked it up late last out. If they try to send, dropping the 10 and holding off the 11 will require some effort. |
Sharp analysis.
I agree that Three Rules is a better horse than State Of Honor. I'm betting on the probability of either ground-loss, or premature energy usage with Three Rules, (as well as much of the field vs. State of Honor).
On that same wave, in spite of both being 'speeds', I don't feel they are mutually exclusive.
Ideally, SOH 'plays' the first turn, and high-cruises, sucking-up near the lead to hit the board. SOH seems less likely to be pace-dependent.
Gunnervera is solid. If a decent 1st-turn, and 4 disappoints, could tackle the pace fairly easily.
