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Thread: Florida Derby
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Old 03-30-2017, 09:28 PM   #18
Robert Fischer
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,558
Highest% 'churn' bet may actually be 'Place' on 4.
'Win' on 4 is also a great bet.

Tempting are the vertical exotics...
1 is a stone-cold 'Key'. He's a legitimate horse to finish in the top four, if this race will run on the moon, but with his forward position and inside post draw, this is a big opportunity. 8-1 is generous, and you don't really have to use him on top.
7 is a big long shot who you want to 'double-Key' along with 1.
To cut down on bet-size, I'm looking to occupy 3rd&4th slot with the double-key.

Wager Menu game plan:

4 singled in multis.
PLACE on 4

Supers
4/1/6781011/All
4/6781011/1/All
4/6781011/6781011/1
4/16781011/167/167


1. State of Honor, Mark Casse, Julien Leparoux, 8-1
2. Talk Logistics, Eddie Plesa Jr., Joe Bravo, 30-1
3. Charlie the Greek, Mikhail Yanakov, Leonel Reyes, 50-1
4. Always Dreaming, Todd Pletcher, John Velazquez, 4-1
5. Quinentos, Enrique A. Sanchez, Carlos Montalvo, 50-1
6. Coleman Rocky, Gustavo Delgado, Jose Ortiz, 30-1
7. Unbridled Holiday, Patrick Biancone, Nik Juarez, 30-1
8. Impressive Edge, Dale Romans, Corey Lanerie, 12-1
9. Battalion Runner, Todd Pletcher, John Velazquez, 3-1
10. Three Rules, Jose Pinchin, Luis Saez, 8-1
11. Gunnevera, Antonio Sano, Javier Castellano, 9-5
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