Quote:
Originally Posted by maddog42
My favorite play in all of racing is (like most of us) is early speed. I cash a lot of longshots with it, and have terrible losing streaks. And obviously you can't bet them all. Twice this past year 2023, I talked myself off of early speed longshots because of these long losing streaks with it. I know that is part of the game and "you can't win them all" and all that stuff. But it has cost me 2 scores in pick 5's. 15k and 28k. With either of those 2 hits and I have a winning year. My focus has been refining my method....I'm gonna go over the last six months and see if I can improve.
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What do you use to determine early speed? I find the TimeformUS pace ratings in DRF pps to be great.
Saturday I almost made a huge mistake, but got bailed out by the next race: I noticed that the #9 horse in Tampa's 1st was the main speed from the DRF/TimeformUS pace ratings. However, I couldn't imagine the horse winning so I boxed it in the exacta with the horse I liked. My horse runs poorly and the 9 wins easily at 37/1. I was pretty down that I didn't put anything on the winner to win. Fortunately, I only liked the 2 favorites in the 2nd & threw a 4 combination DD in with my horse, & the 9 in the 1st with the 2 horses in the 2nd. The better odds horse of the 2 horses wins the 2nd and the DD pays $592.20 for $2. I went from the outhouse to the penthouse.
