Good points from both of you, so just to play devils advocate.
First time against winners is the drawback.
Off over a year and first time against winners, two strikes
Is scary just because he will be up front, but best races have been against claimers or state breds
The most dangerous because of running style, has not faced claimers and seems to be on a good race, bad race, good race pattern. Second choice behind the
because of lower morning line odds.
Off 120 days then a hard fought race with a unusually high speed figure, and back in 10 days. Big bounce candidate.