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Re the thread title - this falls into the etc. category
Just about every time I find a juicy overlay it's because the public, IMO, overrated the factor of class.
A couple of weeks ago at Parx the horse I liked was stepping up to a 46K allowance from a 24K allowance. Literally everything else about this horse indicated that he was the best horse in the race. His rivals had run in a 46K allowance. He went off a little better than 5/1. I probably would have bet him at 9/5.
The public almost always favors the class horse. A lot of the time they're right, but there has to be other factors to get me to like a horse. I can't get interested just because he's the only horse to run in a stakes event where he finished 5th.
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