Quote:
Originally Posted by Inner Dirt
Any insight in to why I am nuts to think the Rams and Chiefs will cover easily, flipping the results from the regular season. Especially the Rams, as I believe every parlay I played betting against SF, they beat me.
|
Here are the stats I have for the Conference Championships:
*Home teams are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS in the last 16*
*Home favourites that are closing at 7+ points are 12-5 SU but only 6-11 ATS since 1999*
*Also to note that Home favourites 7 points or less are 14-5 SU and 13-6 ATS in the last 19 with these games favouring the Over with a record of 13-5-1*
*Teams that won by 7 points or less in the NFC/AFC Divisional Round are 2-15 SU and 6-11 ATS in the last 17 Conference Championship games which means that this current trend is for Cincinnati and San Francisco*
*Home teams are 13-2 SU and 10-5 ATS in the last 15 AFC Championships while in the NFC Championships 12-5 SU and 9-8 ATS in the last 17*
*Home teams that made the playoffs in the prior year are 20-6 SU and 16-10 ATS in the last 26 and 7-1 SU 6-2 ATS vs teams that were not in the playoffs the previous season which does apply to both matchups this year*
* #2 seeds hosting an AFC/NFC Conference Championship are only 4-6 SU and 4-5-1 since 1997 which applies to Kansas City here*
*Wild Card teams or #5 #6 seeds are 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS since 1996 with in the last 11 seasons just 2-6 ATS*
*The last 9 AFC Championships are 6-4 Under while the NFC Championships are 14-5-1 in the last 20*
*Since 2003 the last 7 out of 9 Championships games with a total of 42 but less than 48 have gone Over*
Hope this helps!
