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Old 01-30-2023, 04:00 PM   #20
BarchCapper
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Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: Clarksville, AR
Posts: 1,222
Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy View Post
Saffie is 22% lifetime and was at 21% last year. His overall results are, in my opinion, suspicious. I tend to agree with Paulbenny that these hot trainers often fail to reproduce the same results when they ship. Although I do think that Saffie had some success with his NYRA horses last year. I can't find individual stats on that.
Ran some numbers on Saffie Joseph shippers over the past 5 years into the NY and KY circuits, plus FG, CNL, and PRX:
218 starters, 34 winners (16%), 90 ITM (41%), -15% ROI

Overall at those tracks (horses "based" there added in):
353 starters, 55 winners (16%), 148 ITM (42%), -19% ROI

All NYRA runners only - 5 years:
176 starters, 31 winners (18%), 75 ITM (43%), -23% ROI

Last year at NYRA only:
63 starters, 11 winners (17%), 27 ITM (43%), -13% ROI
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Tom in NW Arkansas
——————
”Past performances are no guarantee of future results.” - Why isn't this disclaimer printed in the Daily Racing Form?
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