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Originally Posted by cj
In races with 3 or less first timers, the first timers return about 68 cents per dollar bet. Those that have run return about 73 cents per dollar.
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Believe that some years ago a study was done that confirms this; that first starters have a lower impact value and do not win their share compared to experienced runners that have had at least one start. That said, perhaps the best way to use first starters is to tab the tote. Firsters that are live on the board and receive heavy betting action are often very good plays. Not the highly publicized high cost babies that are M/L favorites, these are already public property, and offer no value.
