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[JohnGalt1]

Originally Posted by OverlayHunter

I understand that the importance of various factors can vary based on the particular situation of each race but I’m trying to get a better general sense of which factors most often have the most influence on creating the final odds.

I suppose it may also vary based on whether or not it is a race or track that attracts money from whales in that I’m guessing that whales must have a somewhat different approach than the general public.

The following is a list of what I consider the most likely factors to have the most influence in most races ranked roughly in what my gut suggests is the likely order of most influence to least influence on the final odds. I’d be shocked if it is correct. (The factors and the order are in no way related to my approach to the game.)

I’m hoping that others may have a better sense of this than I do. Please share your thoughts. Thank you for your assistance.

Figs (best or not / competitive or not / from comparable race or not)

Class (same, drop, rise / some class formula)

Competitiveness (the relative capability of true contenders)

Form (current / anticipated)

Improvement (hints that horse might improve - 2nd back, 3rd back, works, etc.)

Trainer / Trainer Change (very good, good, fair, poor / better, same, worse)

Jockey / Jockey Change (very good, good, fair, poor / better, same, worse)

Works

Distance (success or not / switch) (will be higher on the list in some circumstances)

Surface (success or not / switch) (will be higher on the list in some circumstances)

I mostly agree with the order you placed these factors in.