Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
The evidence for how accurate muti-race wagering mirrors final odds is pretty cut and dried at least at major tracks. I could post race after race 20 minutes to post to prove that to you because clearly a lot of people out here have not taken the time to verify that claim. So unless you think those pools are way off what you're saying makes no sense at all. People keep bringing up this old casino that let people bet into the morning line or some such nonsense, that would not be long for this world. If that's what they plan to do here their line will need to have a 60% vig. I was hoping for this years Derby there would be some horse against horse action offered on-shore. That would be cool for starters.  |
Right now most people are just betting into the pools. The caw catches these live horses because they are granted access to the pools and when juiced (live) runner gets pounded late they take that info and incorporate it into their betting. If the people who bet these live runners are able to bet at fixed odds of 10-1 they aren’t going to bet them nearly as much in the regular pools. So the pools that you find so predictive, will be less predictive. I know how bookmakers work, they want risk free money. When they get crushed and they will get crushed, all they are going to be able to do is damage control and guys like you who likely will beat them fairly consistently will be limited.
As far as big races and big racing days, yes that can work. But I don’t think most horse players want just that. They want 7/2 when they bet a horse at 7/2 when the gate is loading. I say this working and being successful is much easier said than done. We will eventually see how it works out. I grant them permission to prove me wrong.
