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Old 09-16-2020, 11:02 PM   #116
pandy
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Lehigh Valley, PA.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper View Post
I never checked the data to this detail, but it seems his horses "freak" like that more often when he ships. It also seems like it's not unusual for him to ship in several horses and they either all fire their "A" race or better or they all just run OK. He has a very good record shipping to some tracks.

For me, he's a gambling dilemma.

When I evaluate his lightly raced horses based on how they've been running and typical improvement I have one thing in mind, but I know there's a better chance his horse is going to jump up to a big new peak than for the typical good trainer. The problem is the horse is also going to take extra Baffert money. So there's no edge in that knowledge. I feel like I'm playing a form of Russian roulette betting on him or against him and I don't know if the gun is loaded.
Drug trainers in general turn me off to the product. The last few years I couldn't bet Monmouth, a track I like, because Servis and Navarro had too many horses. To me, that completely ruins the racing because if one of them has a horse in the race that they just got in their barn, you couldn't really handicap the race because if that horse reacted well to the crap they were using, it was going to win easily. These corrupt trainers are a scourge to the industry.
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