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Old 04-12-2021, 08:39 PM   #11
the little guy
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Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,333
Quote:
Originally Posted by f2tornado View Post
Why don’t you post your odds estimate on the top three instead of trolling?
However, my guess is Essential Quality will be 3:1 to 4:1, extremely likely the favorite, with the second choice around 6:1. This could be a year where workouts affect things more than other years. Hard to be sure who the second and third choices will be, as we aren’t even certain now about a number of the possible contenders. However, this is hardly a clearly defined group.

I remember when a lot of people that Magnum Moon, the undefeated Pletcher horse, was going to be second or third choice and he ended up around 14:1, likely due to workout reports. This group is highly competitive on paper....more than I think a lot of people realize right now.
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