Quote:
Originally Posted by geroge.burns99
When people realize that every race is "unique"
They will become better handicappers.
I use FIGs for only one reason.....to see if a horse ran a top last out
My research shows less than 12% wins next out...
Most of the time with those high figs , they get bet....
With one of the favorites out , you can get value....
My handicapping is old school Bradshaw's Match-Up.....
the early horse will win if no one is faster than him...
Mike
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Agree, Mike. And agree with 46zilzal, in the sense that most are obsessed with the finish of races.
After a lot of refinements, I focus on the percentages/odds established by the public. Most favorites are in the 35% or bit higher group. The next three in odds rank usually are a collective 50%. They have my attention. I sift the remaining 15% for a type of Steven Crist "C" horse or two.
The figs don't describe ability unless today's trip figures to be very similar to that in which the figure was achieved, and I'm always looking for a big fig to translate into an "easy trip", justifying betting favorites' 30's percent chances versus the sweet spot 2nd thru 4th ranked horses.
I don't see anyone asking, as in yesterday's opener at GP, "Streaming Tap earned a top 80 (bris) in an 83 (winner) field. How is he going to earn an 80 without others in the field (the inner dynamics of the race) having the ability to do so"?
Happens every day with many top figs.
