I'll post these numbers for year 2019. Sampling from all North American tracks.
You might be able to use it in evaluating the Vulnerable Fave.
Lowest ROI and Hit% is fave today going off greater than 1/1 but NOT fave in last.
A number that stands out is the high price favorite who was fave in last race. 1.03 ROI !
Code:
Post time Faves 1/1 or less
All Faves Fave Last Not Fave Last
Races 3522 1008 2514
1$Ret 3308 1002 2306
ROI 0.94 0.99 0.92
Hit % 59% 64% 58%
Post time Faves Greater than 1/1
All Faves Fave Last Not Fave Last
Races 3819 807 3012
1$Ret 3532 835 2698
ROI 0.92 1.03 0.90
Hit % 36% 41% 35%
