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Old 02-09-2019, 02:09 PM   #15
Blenheim
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Home of the brave.
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I wanted to get away from the patterns, but after further review they’re persuasive - except for the CD, they continue to hold. The winners of the Jerome, Sham, LeComte, Smarty Jones, Withers, Robert B Lewis and the Holy Bull (7 races):

1) Class of the field (x/Gray Attempt 1st x/neck; Harvey Wallbanger 1st x/1)
2) Hadn’t raced in 56+ sixty days
3) Showed 5+ works (x/Tax, 4 works)
4) Among first two betting choices (x/Harvey Wallbanger, 6th)
5) Ranked 1st or 2nd in BRIS Prime Power (x/Harvey Wallbanger, 5th)
6) CD fit (2/7);

The pattern points to a layoff horse with class and speed that is the betting and BRIS Prime Power favorite. Average DI and CD for 8.5f: 3.01 - 0.69. For the Sam F. Davis, I get (5) qualifiers:

KNICKS GO, DP = 3-6-11-0-0 (20) DI = 2.64 CD = 0.60
87k - Broke his Mdn @ 42k, Elp; appears to be the class of the field w/early speed; confounding speed figures; good RR/CR; inconsistent turn time; low LP; problematic comments; low trainer stakes %; three works, w/2 sharp bullets @ Tam; CD fits.

KENTUCKY WILDCAT, DP = 5-11-13-1-0 (30) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.67
225k - broke his Mdn last out @ Aqu @ 70k; good speed; good paired speed figure pattern, expect improvement; low RR, good CR; ascending turn time; ascending LP; dug in and fought on; low trainer stakes %; five works, 1 bullet @ Palm Meadows; CD fits.

FIVE STAR GENERAL, DP = 7-4-10-0-1 (22) DI = 2.67 CD = 0.73
50k - broke his Mdn @ 40k @ Lrl; low paired speed figure pattern; low RR, good CR; low turn time; low LP; seven works w/3 straight bullets @ Tam, works signal improvement; CD fits.

SO ALIVE, DP = 3-3-6-0-0 (12) DI = 3.00 CD = 0.75
130k -broke his Mdn last out @ Tam @ OC75k; mid paired speed figure pattern; low RR/CR; even turn time; good LP; three works @ Palm Beach; CD fits.

WELL DEFINED, DP = 5-3-9-1-0 (18) DI = 2.27 CD = 0.67
7.5k - broke his Mdn first out @ GP @ 50kR; confounding speed figures; good RR/CR; good turn time; confounding LP; two gate works at Gpw one at distance; CD fits.

~





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