Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
One of the takeaways from Andy's post isn't related to Crunk's tweets...rather it's about touting Belmont vs. Keeneland and not realizing or not reporting the fact that Belmont was up big this weekend because last year was a disaster in terms of weather and whatnot...
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I don't think anyone was criticizing his post - it's fine.
Crunk's data, or Jeff's under the link he posted to Belmont, can be analyzed to smooth out weather etc. You can see Belmont is up nicely per entry the last month (good for them; they had some luck the last while, but they're carding some nice races), while Keeneland is down per entry the last month (they've had some good luck too, and they're carding some good races).
If you want to smooth it even more, you can take out the outlier cards, best and worse, and the data continues to get somewhat statistically better. Generally it tells the story - Belmont has done very well - up somewhere between 4% and 7% per entry. Keeneland has done markedly worse, down somewhere between 8% and 12% per entry.
