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I still say that too many 12-14 horse fields are bankroll busters. It does create more chaos because of traffic jams, so if anything, a lower takeout is required. These races also kill churn.
But on the positive side of things, if you do hit an exotic in a 12-14 horse field, you might get enough to keep your bankroll alive for a week or more.
I look back at my most successful cashes, and I think they mostly occurred in races that had 8-11 horses though.
I always look at the Derby as a crap shoot.
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