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I really thought this derby would have more pace early even in the slop...I thought the slop would serve to make the race more chaotic and that a longer price would end up in the top slot...I don't quite know why I threw AD out when I had indications that he would run well...in the back of my mind, I play out this recording that says "play longshots here...its very competitive and there's lots of horses, why accept 9/2 here...? I can get 9/2 anytime, right...?"
This, I believe, is faulty thinking...disappointed to say, I had those prices for 2nd and 3rd on my tickets...but didn't include the most probable winner in the top slot, even though I put other contenders there...crazy stuff but just real dumb on my part....
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